Following the official defection of Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso to the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) on Sunday, May 3, 2026, a claim regarding massive membership growth has surfaced.
The Source of the Claim
Dr. Adefolaseye Adebayo, the South West Coordinator of the Obi-Kwankwaso (OK) Movement, made the statement during a live interview on Arise Television on Tuesday, May 5, 2026.
The Statement
During the interview, Dr. Adebayo addressed the momentum following the leaders’ exit from the African Democratic Congress (ADC).
She stated:“24 hours after Peter Obi left ADC, 10 million Nigerians registered with NDC and that says a lot.”
She further emphasized the spread of his support, saying:“Mr. Peter Obi has a lot of followership across Nigeria. He has followers in all the six geopolitical zones… so I don’t think his chances of winning the 2027 presidency have reduced.”
The Verdict: Unverified / Improbable
While the interview and the quote are real, the figure of 10 million registrations in a single 24-hour window remains unverified by independent data or official INEC records.
-
Logistics: Registering 10 million individuals in 24 hours would require a processing rate of approximately 115 people per second, which exceeds the known capacity of current political registration portals in Nigeria.
-
Official Confirmation: The NDC has not yet released a certified database audit or a formal press release from the National Secretariat to back this specific numerical milestone.
-
Context: Political analysts have characterized the statement as “political hyperbole” intended to demonstrate the movement’s strength following the weekend’s realignment.
